Newspoll has Tony Abbott back in lead as Labor splits grow
The combination of Mr Abbott's rise, Ms Gillard's loss of the lead as preferred prime minister and the Labor Party's continued low primary vote will spur those arguing that Labor needs a change of leadershipAccording to the Newspoll survey, taken exclusively for The Australian last weekend, Labor's primary vote went from 30 per cent to 32 per cent and the Coalition's from 45 per cent to 46 per cent after changes in support for the Coalition.
Based on preference flows at the August 2010 election, the Coalition now holds a 10-point two-party preferred lead over the ALP of 55 per cent to 45 per cent. The Coalition is sitting on its best primary vote and two-party preferred vote since November. Labor's primary vote - its best since November - and two-party support remain at levels that would mean an electoral rout if an election were held now.
Ms Gillard faced fresh questions last night about the extent of her plotting to remove Kevin Rudd as Labor leader in 2010, as her senior ministers continued to accuse the opposition of talking down the economy and not caring about job losses.But during two weeks of sustained government attacks on Mr Abbott's economic management credibility and rifts in the Coalition over industry policy and budget strategies, the Liberal leader has reversed Ms Gillard's lead over him as preferred prime minister.
Ms Gillard had held a clear lead over Mr Abbott as preferred prime minister since mid-November, after she hosted the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting and the US presidential visit. But last weekend her previous lead of 40 per cent to 37 per cent was reversed, with Mr Abbott's support rising three points to 40 per cent as Ms Gillard's fell the same to 37 per cent.
Labor's poor primary vote and Mr Abbott's lead over Ms Gillard for six months of last year were the fundamental reasons given by disenchanted Labor MPs for returning to Mr Rudd as Labor leader. Ms Gillard's supporters argue that she will prevail over Mr Abbott, who is seen as too negative and obstructionist.
In the past two weeks, Mr Abbott's satisfaction level among voters rose from 32 per cent to 36 per cent. Dissatisfaction with the way Mr Abbott is doing his job as Opposition Leader fell from 55 per cent to 52 per cent. It is Mr Abbott's highest satisfaction rating since the beginning of October ,and his lowest dissatisfaction rating since September.
While more people still disapprove of Mr Abbott than approve, his satisfaction rating, the difference between the two, has dropped to minus 16.During the same period, Ms Gillard's satisfaction levels have remained little changed, with satisfaction going from 33 per cent to 32 per cent and dissatisfaction rising from 55 per cent to 57 per cent.
Ms Gillard's net satisfaction rating is now minus 25 and has been minus 20 or more since September. Mr Abbott's return to preferred prime minister over Ms Gillard comes as a separate Newspoll survey showed he has regained the lead over her as the preferred economic manager.
The Newspoll survey taken last weekend, and reported in The Australian yesterday, showed Mr Abbott in front of Ms Gillard on the economy at 43 per cent to the Prime Minister's 34 per cent.
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- From: The Australian
- February 14, 2012
Opposition Leader Tony Abbott is once again preferred PM after the latest Newspoll. Source: The Australian
Tony Abbott has again overtaken Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister as the Coalition continues to dominate a federal Labor Party distracted by leadership divisions.
Voter satisfaction with the Opposition Leader has risen in the past two weeks, with Mr Abbott's personal position the best it has been since October. The Prime Minister's standing has sunk to its lowest level since November - before the positive impact for the Gillard government of the visits of the Queen and US President Barack Obama.The combination of Mr Abbott's rise, Ms Gillard's loss of the lead as preferred prime minister and the Labor Party's continued low primary vote will spur those arguing that Labor needs a change of leadershipAccording to the Newspoll survey, taken exclusively for The Australian last weekend, Labor's primary vote went from 30 per cent to 32 per cent and the Coalition's from 45 per cent to 46 per cent after changes in support for the Coalition.
Based on preference flows at the August 2010 election, the Coalition now holds a 10-point two-party preferred lead over the ALP of 55 per cent to 45 per cent. The Coalition is sitting on its best primary vote and two-party preferred vote since November. Labor's primary vote - its best since November - and two-party support remain at levels that would mean an electoral rout if an election were held now.
Ms Gillard faced fresh questions last night about the extent of her plotting to remove Kevin Rudd as Labor leader in 2010, as her senior ministers continued to accuse the opposition of talking down the economy and not caring about job losses.But during two weeks of sustained government attacks on Mr Abbott's economic management credibility and rifts in the Coalition over industry policy and budget strategies, the Liberal leader has reversed Ms Gillard's lead over him as preferred prime minister.
Ms Gillard had held a clear lead over Mr Abbott as preferred prime minister since mid-November, after she hosted the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting and the US presidential visit. But last weekend her previous lead of 40 per cent to 37 per cent was reversed, with Mr Abbott's support rising three points to 40 per cent as Ms Gillard's fell the same to 37 per cent.
Labor's poor primary vote and Mr Abbott's lead over Ms Gillard for six months of last year were the fundamental reasons given by disenchanted Labor MPs for returning to Mr Rudd as Labor leader. Ms Gillard's supporters argue that she will prevail over Mr Abbott, who is seen as too negative and obstructionist.
In the past two weeks, Mr Abbott's satisfaction level among voters rose from 32 per cent to 36 per cent. Dissatisfaction with the way Mr Abbott is doing his job as Opposition Leader fell from 55 per cent to 52 per cent. It is Mr Abbott's highest satisfaction rating since the beginning of October ,and his lowest dissatisfaction rating since September.
While more people still disapprove of Mr Abbott than approve, his satisfaction rating, the difference between the two, has dropped to minus 16.During the same period, Ms Gillard's satisfaction levels have remained little changed, with satisfaction going from 33 per cent to 32 per cent and dissatisfaction rising from 55 per cent to 57 per cent.
Ms Gillard's net satisfaction rating is now minus 25 and has been minus 20 or more since September. Mr Abbott's return to preferred prime minister over Ms Gillard comes as a separate Newspoll survey showed he has regained the lead over her as the preferred economic manager.
The Newspoll survey taken last weekend, and reported in The Australian yesterday, showed Mr Abbott in front of Ms Gillard on the economy at 43 per cent to the Prime Minister's 34 per cent.
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7 February 2012
NOT NEEDED: Former top public servant Ken Smith did not attract the interest of the flood inquiry. Source: The Courier-Mail
Mr Smith was Premier Anna Bligh's right-hand man during the emergency, receiving regular updates on rainfall, dam and flood heights. But it still wasn't enough to attract the interest of the inquiry, despite offering to help.
In a letter to commissioner Justice Catherine Holmes on January 29 this year, Mr Smith, now the state's agent-general in London, says he writes "to reiterate my availability to the Commission of Inquiry".
Dam chief denies any 'oh dear' moment
Speaking from London last night, Mr Smith confirmed he had not been contacted personally until the inquiry was extended following revelations made in The Courier-Mail and The Australian newspapers.
He said he could not comment on why he had not been called, but had not been contacted since he submitted his statement on February 1. The commission yesterday posted Ms Bligh's 312-page statement to the flood inquiry online, which includes emails, her diary, and even the running sheet for the live telethon organised to raise money for flood victims.
In her statement, originally dated February 5 but signed on February 6, only hours before it was due at the flood commission at 9am, Ms Bligh repeats she had no detailed involvement in the running of the dams holding back the floodwaters above Ipswich and Brisbane. "I had no involvement in the choice or timing of the dam operations strategies used in the operation of Wivenhoe Dam between January 7, 2011, and January 12, 2011," she says in the statement handed to the flood commission. "The documents that I have attached to this statement show that the choices and timing of dam operations were being taken by the operators of the dams, in consultation with Bureau of Meteorology and each of the Local Government Authorities in the catchment areas."
But on Page 342 of the 471-page statement that Mr Smith has subsequently been asked to provide since the commission was shamed into extending its inquiry, is an email from Seqwater detailing its plan to change from protecting rural roads to preserving Ipswich and Brisbane.
The email, received by Mr Smith at 11pm on January 9, was forwarded to Premier Bligh's email address the next morning at 5.44am. LNP leader Campbell Newman said yesterday there were accusations Wivenhoe Dam was mismanaged in the lead-up to the Brisbane and Ipswich floods lapping at Premier Bligh's door. Mr Newman said Ms Bligh told the media only two weeks ago that she knew nothing about the operations of the dam during the floods.
"Clearly that has now been blown out of the water," Mr Newman said yesterday. "We know now that she has been involved, in fact a year ago, in detailed discussions about the operation of the dam. "All I can say is it is a murky issue, that is this whole commission it seems, that is now lapping at the door of the Premier's office.
Adding to the confusion is the meeting notes of the State Disaster Management Committee attached to Ms Bligh's commission statement, which show Mr Newman was inside the meetings.
Ms Bligh's statement gives a blow by blow account of the floods, from concerns the devastated regional towns were being forgotten to emergency powers being used to evacuate a 60-year-old man armed with a rifle who was refusing to leave his home. Most chillingly, the John Tonge centre had the capacity to hold 50 bodies, the disaster committee was told.
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