Tuesday 20 September 2011

Record Newspoll low puts ALP level with minor parties and independents

  • LABOR's primary vote has sunk to a record low of 26 per cent and Tony Abbott continues to lead as preferred prime minister.
According to the latest Newspoll survey, taken exclusively for The Australian last weekend, the Coalition's primary vote dropped two points from a record 50 per cent two weeks ago to 48 per cent, while Labor's went from a previous record of 27 per cent to 26 per cent. The Greens' support rose one point to 13 per cent and voters gave "others" a two-point rise to 13 per cent. Labor's primary vote is now the same as the combined vote of the Greens and other minor parties and independents for the first time.

Based on preference flows from the last election the Coalition now has a two-party-preferred lead over the ALP of 58 per cent to 42 per cent, which would wipe out the Gillard government if an election were held now.

Ms Gillard's direct appeal to the Opposition Leader to support the Migration Act amendments have personalised the debate and left both leaders facing pressure within their own partyrooms.

Ms Gillard's net satisfaction rating, the difference between satisfaction and dissatisfaction, is still -34 percentage points but the lift in support has stemmed a disastrous decline for the Prime Minister's personal support that began in August.

During the period since the High Court decision on asylum-seekers and the political debate about how to restore ministerial rights to offshore processing, Mr Abbott's satisfaction dropped five points from 39 per cent to 34 per cent and dissatisfaction went from 52 per cent to 54 per cent.

There were minor changes on the question of who would make the better prime minister, with Ms Gillard up from 34 to 35 per cent and Mr Abbott down from 43 to 40 per cent.
Mr Abbott is still ahead of Ms Gillard and has been since the middle of June.

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